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I Didn’t Vote For Obama Today by Boyd Reed.

Please go to TPM and read it, it’s a wonderful piece.

.chris{}

I hope I never hear about that myth again!!! Obama is cleaning up!!!

.chris{}

Obama illustration by artist Charis Tsevis

Obama illustration by Charles Tsevis

I can hardly believe it’s come to this. One more day until CHANGE! We’ll finally put America back on the right track and be in a position to realize the dreams of all Americans!

With less than 12 hours left before polls open on the East Cast, Real Clear Politics has Sen. Obama leading Sen. McCain by an average of 7.4 pts (51.6% to 41.3%). Even I have to admit that in my wildest dreams, I couldn’t have anticipated that the polls wouldn’t have tightened as we got closer to election day.

At the battleground state level, Obama is either tied or ahead in 7 of the contests; up in FL (1.8%), VA (4.3%), OH (3.2%), CO (5.5%) and NV (6.2%); and within one point in NC (0.6%) and MO (0.5%).

He’s also up by 7.6% in PA, where McCain made one last and very expensive and time-consuming push to try to flip one of Obama’s states.

At this point, it will take some sort of national event for McCain to generate enough momentum to come back and win all of the states he needs to win in order to get to 270.

PLEASE, get out and VOTE tomorrow morning!

.chris{}

GOP pollster Frank Luntz, in an interview with the BBC, says it plainly: “I cannot foresee a scenario that John McCain is elected president of the United States,”


Sen. John McCain is lagging in the polls, late

Sen. John McCain is lagging in the polls, late

It seems that after all the spin out of Sen. McCain’s camp this week about being “a few points down” and “the polls tightening”, recent national and statewide polls released this morning — apparently after Sen. Obama’s 30 minute infomercial reached 34 million American viewers — show that Obama has widened his lead over McCain.

Gallup, which releases three daily polls — one for Registered Voters, one Likely Voters (expanded) and one for Likely Voters (traditional) — shows double-digit leads across each polling time (11 pts, 10 pts and 10 pts respectively).

This is the first time that the expanded Likely Voters poll (which accounts for increased turnout) and the traditional Likely Voters poll (which assumes similar turnout patters to 2004) both show a similar lead for Obama. According to Gallup:

This is the first time since Gallup began estimating likely voters in early October that there is no difference between Gallup’s two likely voter models. Obama’s lead of 52% to 42% using Gallup’s traditional estimate of likely voting criteria takes into account past voting as well as current intentions. Obama’s identical lead using the expanded model takes into account only current voting intentions.

It’s funny because just Wednesday, conservative talk show host Bill O’Reilly was hanging his hat on the Gallup poll’s traditional poll — probably for the first time ever — citing that likely voters are the most credible because these are folks who actually have come out to the polls to vote in the past. I imagine he’ll be discrediting Gallup now and citing another poll which perhaps is more encouraging for McCain. LOL!

In addition to Gallup, CNN’s Poll of polls also shows Sen. Obama widening his lead, with a 7 pt. lead vs. only a 5 pt. lead as recently as Thursday. I’m sure McCain supporters had hoped McCain’s poll numbers would creep closer to Obama’s throughout the weekend, perhaps heading into Monday at or near the margin of error (heck, maybe even McCain would be LEADING Obama?).

Doesn’t look likely. McCain’s numbers are headed in the other direction, momentum that bears itself out in individual states where Obama continues to lead.

At this rate, Obama figures to start Monday with a high single digit lead on McCain nationally and a small to mid-single digit lead in several battleground / former Bush 2004 states.

LL Cool J

LL Cool J

LL Cool J once said, famously, in his hit Mama Said Knock You Out “don’t call it a comeback”. I don’t call what’s happening in the polls a comeback for McCain, nor do I call it tightening. And with approximately 3 days before the first polls close on the east coast, I don’t think it looks good for the McCain camp right now. It does, however, really look good for the millions of Americans who are starving for change!

3 days ’til change…..

.chris{}

Joe the Plumber chats with Sen. Obama

Joe the Plumber chats with Sen. Obama

During the last 2 presidential campaigns, as George W. Bush racked up inexplicable victories, I had often wondered how certain voters across the U.S. could/would vote against their interests in backing the GOP plank of policies. I think the now infamous Joe the Plumber offers a bit of a glympse into the mind of those voters.

In his first exchange with Sen. Obama, Joe — aka Joseph Wurzelbacher of Toledo, OH — took Obama to task over his tax policy. He explained, before a throng of cameras and media, that he was getting ready to buy a company that makes $250,000 – $270,000 a year and stated “your new tax plan is going to tax me more, isn’t it?”

Now there are a couple of things wrong with this scenario:

  1. Joe the plumber is not actually a plumber. He is not licensed even though he lives in a county that requires him to be.
  2. Joe is not “getting ready to buy a company”, or anything else for that matter, since it has come out that he owes $1,182.98 on a January 2007 tax lien.

So tell me, how is it that an unlicensed handyman who hasn’t paid his taxes feels empathy for the soon to increase taxes of those in the $250,000+ income range, which he’s clearly not within striking distance of? And for that matter, how stupid do you have to be to question a potential presidential candidate — ON CAMERA — when you know you haven’t paid your taxes yourself? Read the rest of this entry »

Obama / Biden 2008

Obama / Biden 2008

The last of the debates are done. All that’s left now is the voting and, to be honest, I wish it was today! I’m ready! Let’s do it!

Sen. John McCain had to have gone into last night’s debate (watched by approximately 56.5 million viewers), hoping for something to happen that would change the dynamic of the election, which is trending away from him in the worst way.

Instead, most polls taken of debate watchers showed Obama winning very convincingly in last night’s debate — as they had in each of the 3 previous debates between the two presidential hopefuls (as well as the one vice presidential debate). I personally felt McCain got off to a great start and actually won the first 30 minutes of the debate. Too bad for McCain that the debate lasted a full 90 minutes. In the remaining 60 minutes, Obama was able to grab the momentum, put McCain on the defensive at times and use his time to explain in detail some of his domestic policies (healthcare and tax policy) in his words and in much more detail.

And that’s it. No more debates. No more single events where tens of millions of people will tune in to hear the candidates make their case for the presidency. McCain must now defend slipping poll numbers in multiple battleground states, including some states that seemed to at one time be safely in his column (West Virgina? Are you kidding me????)

So let’s vote now! Let’s get it oer with. Let’s put Obama into office, and turn the page on the woeful Bush years, once and for all!

.chris{}

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